Grant Category

Market Structure

Are markets becoming less competitive and, if so, why, and what are the larger implications?

The premise of a market economy is that broad-based economic gains come from a well-functioning market. Yet there is evidence that growing economic inequality is undermining our society’s ability to act collectively in pursuit of the nation’s welfare. When stakeholders who comprise economic systems subvert institutions for their own gain, the economy loses. If markets are becoming less competitive, the resulting increase in monopoly power could be contributing to these problems.

New data-driven research provides more evidence that markets are increasingly concentrated and that, in many cases, this is indicative of a reduction in competition. Markups, the traditional measure of monopoly power, are growing. Investment and new business start-ups have been falling steadily even as corporate profits are rising. At the same time, labor income as a share of national income is falling. Does the economy suffer from a monopoly problem and, if so, why, and what are the larger implications?

We are interested in research from an aggregate perspective, which has been common in the macroeconomic and labor literatures, as well as sectoral analysis that has been the focus of industrial organization literatures.

  • The causes of increased concentration
  • Consequences of concentration for productivity, investment, and economic growth
  • Consequences of concentration for labor markets and power

Explore the Grants We've Awarded

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Do merger reviews promote competition and stall consolidation?

Grant Year: 2020

Grant Amount: $75,000

Grant Type: academic

This project will provide estimates of the impact of prospective merger reviews on antitrust enforcement actions, product prices, input prices, output, investment, and research and development. Using administrative data collected through taxation, employment, and antitrust provision, the project exploits the introduction of a premerger notification policy in Chile to see how it changed the types of mergers being agreed to. The result will help policymakers understand how much notification systems have a deterrent impact. Prospective merger reviews constitute a large share of antitrust enforcement expenditures, and yet little work has systematically studied its effectiveness. By providing a comprehensive study across industries using detailed data on real economic variables, this project could provide invaluable insights into the effects of mergers in both input and output markets, the impact of notification requirements, and the resource allocation within enforcement agencies.

Cannabis-infused dreams: A market at the crossroads of criminal and conventional

Grant Year: 2020

Grant Amount: $15,000

Grant Type: doctoral

Policy changes at the state and local levels have created recreational cannabis markets in many municipalities across the United States. It is well-known that the War on Drugs disproportionately incarcerated members of the Black and Latinx communities. This research project will explore how the legalization of recreational cannabis in Seattle, Boston, and San Francisco integrated criminal justice and racial economic equity initiatives. The researcher will conduct interviews and complete a comparative case study of policy debates and implementation. Using this mixed-methods approach, the researcher intends to illuminate how market power granted by states can shape equity.

A large-scale evaluation of merger simulations

Grant Year: 2020

Grant Amount: $75,000

Grant Type: academic

This project asks whether standard merger simulation techniques in industrial organization effectively predict price changes in observed mergers, and if not, if predictions depart from reality systematically and in a way consistent with efficiencies or coordinated effects. Using scanner data, the authors will run a standard merger simulation on a large set of completed mergers and compare predictions to outcomes, creating a comprehensive retrospective of the effects of mergers on prices, which will inform us of whether typical approved mergers in the United States tend to increase prices. They will also study the sources of the prediction error.

Regulation of merger policy is a primary tool of competition policy in the United States. Merger simulations are used to decide whether mergers are anti-competitive or whether they should be permitted. This ambitious project could provide a wealth of information about consummated mergers and the predictive power of merger simulation techniques, contributing to the infrastructure used to regulate competition.

Measuring firms’ labor market power in the United States

Grant Year: 2019

Grant Amount: $15,000

Grant Type: doctoral

This project will jointly estimate production mark-ups and labor mark-downs with manufacturing data, and estimate rent-sharing with labor when there are productivity increases in the context of firms' labor market power using Longitudinal Employer-Household data. This dataset allows for heterogeneity analysis that helps understand the types of workers facing the most anticompetitive forces. Further, the research investigates how labor market power varies across geography, industries, and time, and how policymakers can target remedies taking these factors into consideration.

Competitive effects of mergers with regulatory divestiture of assets: Evidence from airline industry

Grant Year: 2019

Grant Amount: $15,000

Grant Type: doctoral

This proposal investigates the effects of mergers in the airline industry upon price, flight frequency, and consumer welfare. Specifically, it will investigate the competitive effects of the merger between US Airways and American Airlines in 2013 and ask whether (or to what extent) the structural remedies required by the U.S. Department of Justice mitigated the expected loss in consumer welfare. In doing so, the investigator seeks to provide a framework for antitrust authorities to approach welfare implications of future airline-related mergers and joint ventures when airport slots are involved.

A unified analysis of declining dynamism and rising mark-ups

Grant Year: 2019

Grant Amount: $15,000

Grant Type: doctoral

Using restricted access, revenue-enhanced data from the Longitudinal Business Database to estimate mark-ups for the full economy, this project seeks to examine whether slowing labor force growth contributes to the decline in new business startups and to increasing mark-ups.

Experts

Grantee

Jess Benhabib

New York University

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Grantee

Atif Mian

Princeton University

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Josh Feng

University Of Utah

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José Ignacio Cuesta

Stanford University

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Jesse Rothstein

University of California, Berkeley

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