Must-read: Suresh Naidu and Noam Yuchtman: “Labor Market Institutions in the Gilded Age”

Must-Read: Suresh Naidu and Noam Yuchtman: Labor Market Institutions in the Gilded Age: “Although 19th century labor markets were unencumbered by regulatory legislation…

…there existed frictions and rents… [that] played an active role in determining labor market outcomes and the distribution of income…. When firms experienced positive output price shocks, their employees earned wage premia…. The existence of rents in the labor contract suggests a role for bargaining and conflict between employees and employers. Workers in the late 19th century
attempted to strike to increase their wages; we present data on the frequency of strikes in the 19th century as well as some evidence suggesting that strikes were correlated with workers’ wages. Employers were supported by institutions of their own: we describe the important role played by the U.S. government in limiting the efficacy of union strikes in the 19th century…. We present new evidence documenting the rise of judicial injunctions that ended strikes, pointing to the important role played by the judicial branch of the U.S. government in structuring (Northern) American labor market institutions prior to the rise of legislative regulation.

Must-read: Branko Milanovic and Suresh Naidu: Branko Milanovic’s New Approach to Global Inequality

Must-Read: Branko Milanovic and Suresh Naidu: Branko Milanovic’s New Approach to Global Inequality: “Convergence and Divergence Across Nations Reinforced or Damped by Kuznets Waves within Nations…

…Global inequality can be broken down into inequality between countries (btw US & Mexico) & within them (among US citizens). Within-country inequality is driven by “Kuznets waves” & between country by economic growth convergence. Real income growth has been quite strong for the global middle class (Vietnam, China, etc), but weak for 80th-90th percentile (US lower MC)…. Migration is the most powerful tool for the reduction of global poverty and inequality

Evening Must-Read: Yet Another Good Piketty Review from Suresh Naidu

Suresh Naidu: Notes from Capital in the 21st Century Panel: “There is a ‘domesticated’ version of [Piketty’s] argument…

…a story about technology and the world market making capital and labor more and more substitutable over time, and this is why r does not fall very much as wealth accumulates…. This is story that is told to academic economists, and it is plausible, at least on the surface. 

There is another story… that the rate of return on capital is set much more by institutions, norms and expectations than by supply and demand of the capital market…. I think the production approach is less plausible… because housing [with land] plays such a large role… average wages would have increased along with K/Y [if factors are paid marginal products]…. The (really great) sections from the book on corporate governance actually suggest something quite different… a gap between cash-flow rights and control rights…. This political dimension of capital, the difference between the valuation written down in the balance sheet and the real power to dispose of the asset, is something that the institutional view of capital can capture better than the marginal product view. This is, I think, also a fruitful interpretation of what was at stake behind the old capital controversies….

If it is just a very high substitutability… labor market reforms are… off the table, as firms just replace workers with machines if you try to raise the wage….