Tag: roundup

• Scott Lemieux: There Will Never Be A Republican Replacement for the ACA, Cont’d: “There’s no alternative to the ACA that 1) could get a non-trivial amount of Republican support and…
• Mary Amiti and David Weinstein: Why shocks to large banks cause big GDP swings: “Banks are large relative to the economies they serve…
• Facundo Alvaredo et al.: Global Inequality Dynamics: New Findings from WID.WORLD: “Global inequality dynamics involve strong and contradictory forces…

Interesting Reads:

• Giovanni Federico and Antonio Tena-Junguito: World trade, 1800-1938: a new data-set
• Zachary Tracer et al.: U.S. Health Insurance Mergers Killed as Companies Plot Next Move
• Doug Staiger and James Stock (1997): Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments
• (2001): Kaiping Mines: Memorandum of Agreement Between Chang Yen-Mao and Herbert Hoover
• Peter Lee (2006): China Matters: Herbert Hoover: Made in China
• Peter Lee (2006): China Matters: Last of the Muckrakers: An Appreciation of Walter Liggett
• Peter Lee (2006): China Matters: The Coolie Quagmire: Flogging, Sodomy, and Imperial Overreach on the Rand
• John Rawlinson: Li Hongzhang
• Zeng Guofan
• Rosa Luxemburg Blog: Think you know your leaders of the Second International?
• Emily Badger: Immigrant Shock: Can California Predict the Nation’s Future?
• Wired: Shenzhen: The Silicon Valley of Hardware
• Aaron Carroll: How Would Republican Plans for Medicaid Block Grants Actually Work?
• Nicholas Bagley: The feds have been ordered to cough up risk corridor money
• Noah Smith: People Actually Use Food Stamps to Buy More Food
• Esteban Ortiz-Ospina and Max Roser: International Trade
• Live from the Whirlwind: Sean Carroll (2008): Bose and Fermi: “The important distinction… is the “pile on top of each other”/”take up space” distinction…
• Martin Longman: Gorsuch’s Praise of David Sentelle Should Concern You

• Thomas Black et al.: One Tiny Widget’s Dizzying Journey Shows Just How Critical Nafta Has Become: “Global trade involves a complex web of cross-border journeys, seamless and often invisible to American consumers…
• Andrew Harless (2013): Employment, Interest, and Money: James Medoff, Stagflation, the Phillips Curve, and the Greenspan Boom: “James Medoff, my thesis advisor in graduate school and later my collaborator and business associate, died on Saturday, September 15 after a long struggle with multiple sclerosis…
• Martin Feldstein, Ted Halstead and Greg Mankiw: A Conservative Case for Climate Action: “CRAZY as it may sound, this is the perfect time to enact a sensible policy to address the dangerous threat of climate change…
• Dietrich Vollrath: Who are you calling Malthusian?: “Living standards are negatively related to the size of population…
• Noah Smith: The Wisdom and Madness of Crowds: “Prelec… Seung, and… McCoy ask… what people think others will guess. If herd behavior is present, some people will know it, and will be contrarians…
• Matthew Yglesias: Beyond wild allegations, what’s clearly true about Trump and Russia is disturbing: “The Russian blackmail theory is composed of two sub-elements…

Interesting Reads:

• Lauren Weber: The End of Employees: Never before have big employers tried so hard to hand over chunks of their business to contractors. From Google to Wal-Mart, the strategy prunes costs for firms and job security for millions of workers…
• Anton Howes: Invention vs Innovation?
• Michael Barr (2013): Remember “Lehman Weekend”: Don’t Let Up on Financial Reforms
• Carmen Reinhart: Is the Deflation Cycle Over?
• Watch “The Bellman Equation”
• Gautam Rao
• Matthew Townsend: Trump Might Nudge Sneaker Jobs Home, but Mainly for Robots: Using more U.S. plants “would seem to be politically prudent.”
• Peter J. Dougherty: Die hard: The once and future scholarly book: “The book is still with us and as relevant as ever. Reports of its death, to paraphrase Mark Twain, are greatly exaggerated…”
• David Anderson: Linking subsidies to price paper
• Chris Dillow: How lies work: “It is not congenital liars that should worry us, but congenital believers – those who fall for the lies of charlatans. We know that many do so: almost half of voters believed the lie that leaving the EU would allow us to spend an extra £350m a week on the NHS…”
• William W. Freehling: Cassius Marcellus Clay and His World
• Reading: Ernest Gellner (1990): The Collapse of the Eastern European Marxist Faith
• Weekend Reading: From Ernest Gellner (1990): The Civil and the Sacred
• Question to Self: Are these the two best books on literature ever? If not these, what

• Mark Roe: Surviving the Next Housing-Market Hurricane: “illiquid real estate cannot solidly underpin a stable market for overnight obligations forever…
• Martin Wolf: Donald Trump Will Not Bring US Jobs Back: “Blame foreigners first. This strategy is always the companion of aggrieved nationalism…
• Tim Duy: Was Kevin Warsh Really A Fed Governor?: “Kevin Warsh’s column in Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal was so riddled with errors and misperceptions…
• Henry Farrell: The Thousand Day Reich: Civil Society: “Ethnic nationalism (and–to extend Gellner’s thought a little to the US context–religious fundamentalism)…
• Steve Randy Waldman: Party Polarization Is Endogenous: “Centrist wonks lament party polarization…

Interesting Reads:

• Tyler Morning Telegraph: It’s time for Texas leaders to defend NAFTA
• Justin Fox: The Growing Burden of the ‘Trump Tax’
• Brett Israel: Berkeley Development Engineering awarded $3 million from National Science Foundation
• Benjamin Montmartin and Nadine Massard: Is financial support for private R&D always justified? A discussion based on literature on growth
• Ernest Gellner: Conditions of Liberty: Civil Society and Its Rivals
• Ernest Gellner Resource Page
• Guillermo Ortiz: Mexico has been a good neighbour for America: Trump’s Nafta narrative is at odds with reality: the pact benefits both economies
• Ben Thompson: Interview with Stewart Butterfield of Slack
• Economist: In Defence of NAFTA
• Statement for the BBC on the Disruption of Berkeley Speaker Event on February 1, 2017:
• Comment of the Day: Altoid: The Thousand Day Reich: Civil Society: “We are re-litigating the Enlightenment…
• Trade Deals and Alternative Facts: Now Fresh at Project Syndicate
• Guest Post: Joshua Gans: The University of Toronto May Be Able to Help You…

• Wolfgang Dauth, Sebastian Findeisen, and Jens Südekum: Globalisation and sectoral employment trends in Germany: “The decline of manufacturing jobs in the US has been the focus of much attention recently…
• Alex Field: Review of Marc Levinson: An Extraordinary Time: The End of the Postwar Boom and the Return of the Ordinary Economy: “1948 to 1973 has long been considered the golden age of the U.S. economy…
• Simon Schama: Joyless Fantasies Abound in Trump’s Inauguration Speech: “The 45th president is not only a cantankerous man but… a mentally lazy one…
• Neil Cummins: Longevity and the Rise of the West: Lifespans of the European Elite, 800-1800: “From the age at death of 121,524 European nobles from 800 to 1800…

Interesting Reads:

• Paul Krugman: Making the Rust Belt Rustier: “Donald Trump will break most of his campaign promises. Which promises will he keep?… Trump is much more enthusiastic about punishing people than he is about helping them…. He appears serious about his eagerness to reverse America’s 80-year-long commitment to expanding world trade… because he sees international trade the way he sees everything else: as a struggle for dominance, in which you only win at somebody else’s expense…”
• Heather Boushey: The challenging and continuing slide in U.S. unionization rates | Equitable Growth
• Dean Baker: A Trade War Everyone Can Win
• Michael J. Hicks and Srikant Devaraj: The Myth and the Reality of Manufacturing in America
• Gavyn Davies: What the models say about Dow 20,000: “Many analysts… warn… real returns may even be negative for many years ahead… assuming that today’s elevated corporate profit margins will return to normal, and the P/E will also return to its historical average, over (say) a 3-7 year period…”
• Matt O’Brien: Donald Trump’s plan to bring jobs back to America comes with one giant asterisk
• Matt Levine: Immigration Orders and Odd Tenders: “Peter Thiel and others said that Trump should be taken ‘seriously but not literally’. Taking Trump literally means believing that he’ll do what he says. Taking him seriously means believing that he’ll do what you want…”
• William Shepherd (1904): The Cession of Louisiana to Spain
• Rudiger Dornbusch and Sebastian Edwards (1989): The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America <http://tinyurl.com/dl20170129f>
• Cardiff Garcia: Markets need to find vigilance in era of Trump populism
• Alan Johnson and Jill Riepenhoff: Trump treasury pick Mnuchin misled Senate on foreclosures, Ohio cases show
• The Enigmas of Thomas Jefferson…
• Hayek and the “Shut Up and Be Grateful You Were Even Born!” Argument: Hoisted from the Archives
• Helicopter Money: When Zero Just Isn’t Low Enough: Milken Review
• Michael DeLong: The Spirit of Emma Lazarus–From the Dulles Airport Protests Against the #MuslimBan #RefugeeBan
• Comment of the Day: Jorgenson: Real Americans Say No to the Muslim and Refugee Ban!: “There was a wonderful post on Twitter that I can’t find now that went like this
• Real Americans Say No to the Muslim and Refugee Ban!
• Reading Robert Reich (2015): Saving Capitalism: For the Many, Not the Few
• Reading: Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson (2016): American Amnesia: How the War on Government Led Us to Forget What Made America Prosper
• Reading: Adair Turner (2015): Between Debt and the Devil: Money, Credit, and Fixing Global Finance
• Reading: Robert J. Gordon (2016): The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War

• Walt Mossberg: Lousy ads are ruining the online experience: “I left the Journal in 2013 and co-founded Recode…
• Pro-Growth Liberal: Paul Ryan’s Two-Faced Comments on Auerbach’s Tax: “Page 15 of the tax portion of A Better Way…
• Barry Ritholtz: Concentration of Robots by Country: “Interesting way to look at global labor force:

Interesting Reads:

• Kevin Drum: What Does It Take to Finally Call a Lie a Lie? We Have an Answer: “The New York Times has called one of President Trump’s lies a lie. The word isn’t used in the text of the story, but it is used in the headline…”
• Manu Saadia: Live from the Gamma Quadrant: On Trekonomics at Books Inc. in Berkeley
• Minxin Pei: Xi Jinping’s Year of Living Dangerously
• Chris Sims (2010): Understanding Non-Bayesians
• Financial Times: Trump’s stimulus plans imply a stronger dollar: The president cannot blame the Fed if the exchange rate starts to hurt…
• Brian Buetler: The Media Failed to Prepare Americans for the Trump Whiplash: The policy stakes of this election were never adequately conveyed by the political press.
• Nick Bunker: What President Trump doesn’t understand about job creation (and destruction)
• Mark Thoma: What the Davos crowd needs to understand
• Gideon Rachman: Truth, Lies and the Trump Administration: “Having a liar [like Donald Trump] in the White House is a disaster…
• NAFTA and Other Trade Deals Have Not Gutted American Manufacturing—Period: Live at Vox.com
• Trade Deals and Jobs: The Elevator Pitch
• Michael DeLong: Will Competition in Health Insurance Survive? The Odds Are Better After Yesterday
• Live from Kroeber Hall: Third caffeinated coffee drink in three weeks! Whee!! WHEE!!1!

• Nicholas Bagley: Patching Obamacare at the State Level: “If Congress zeroes out the individual mandate—and my hunch is that it will—it’s game over for the exchanges…
• Xavier Jaravel: The Unequal Gains from Product Innovations: Evidence from the US Retail Sector: “From 2004 to 2013 higher-income households systematically experienced a larger increase in product variety and a lower inflation rate for continuing products…
• Larry Summers: Disillusioned in Davos: “I am disturbed by (i) the spectacle of financiers who three months ago were telling anyone who would listen that they would never do business with a Trump company…
• Charles Stross: Why Scifi Matters More When the Future Looks So Dangerous: “Near-future scifi is not a predictive medium: it doesn’t directly reflect reality so much as it presents us with a funhouse mirror view of the world around us…
• Robert Allen (2004): Progress and Poverty in Early Modern Europe: “At the end of the middle ages, the urban, manufacturing core of Europe was on the Mediterranean with an important offshoot in Flanders…
• Michael Klein, Edward Schumacher-Matos, and Miriam Wasserman: Econofact: About: “EconoFact is… to bring key facts and incisive analysis to the national debate on economic and social policies…

Interesting Reads:

• Robert Looney: Brazil’s Hard Road to Affluence
• James Kwak: Health Care and John D. Rockefeller’s Dog
• Kevin Drum: What Does It Take for the Press to Call a Lie a Lie?
• Has Protectionism Ever Worked?: DeLong FAQ
• Weekend Reading: Richard Feynman: Math and Science
• Weekend Reading: John Scalzi: The New Year and the Bend of the Arc