…even when households have preferences with high labor supply elasticity, make dynamic savings decisions, and policies have general equilibrium effects. To make this point we construct a large scale Overlapping Generations Model with uninsurable labor productivity risk, show that it has a wealth distribution that matches the data well, and then use it to characterize fiscal policies that achieve a desired degree of redistribution in society. We find that marginal tax rates on the top 1% of the earnings distribution of close to 90% are optimal. We document that this result is robust to plausible variation in the labor supply elasticity and holds regardless of whether social welfare is measured at the steady state only or includes transitional generations.”
Weekend reading
This is a weekly post we publish every Friday with links to articles we think anyone interested in equitable growth should read. We won’t be the first to share these articles, but we hope by taking a look back at the whole week we can put them in context.
Market power
Ryan Avent thinks concerns about the market power of Amazon.com Inc. are overblown. [free exchange]
Joshua Gans agrees that antitrust remedies are not the best way to deal with concerns about the company, but concerns should be voiced. [digitopoly]
Timothy Taylor looks at the possibility of anti-trust concerns writ global that cross borders. [conversable economist]
Paul Krugman wonders about the broader question of the disconnect between profits and investments and considers the role of monopoly power. [ny times]
Taxation at the top
“The question, then, is if confronted with a vastly higher tax rate, would Jamie Dimon still behave like LeBron James.” Ben Walsh on a new paper that argues the optimal top tax rate is 90 percent whether the payee is a sports superstar or one of the best-rewarded executives on Wall Street. [huff post]
Data deep dives
Where can someone in the United States earning the median income get the most bang for the buck? Dylan Matthews takes a look. [vox]
Easing out of inequality?
Next week, the Federal Open Markets Committee of the Federal Reserve is expected to announce the end of its third round of quantitative easing. QE3, as the policy is known, was the central bank’s third round of extraordinary bond purchasing focused on bringing down long-term interest rates to help boost economic growth. The anticipated end of the program has reignited debates about the effectiveness of the policy. And in light of Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s speech last week, many have focused on the effects of QE3 on inequality in particular.
In Dealbook at The New York Times, financial writer and former investment banker William D. Cohen argues that the Fed’s low interest rate policies have favored the rich over the poor in the tepid economic recovery following the Great Recession. Cohen notes that low interest rates have enabled the wealthy to enjoy the fruits of rising stock prices while crushing retirees and others who are living on fixed incomes or relying on their savings to make ends meet. In an interview last weekend, Eric Rosengren, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (which hosted Yellen’s speech) acknowledged that quantitative easing did increase inequality by boosting stock prices. But he added that by boosting overall economic growth, QE3 on net decreases inequality. As he put it, “the one thing that really contributes to income inequality is to have no income at all.”
One way to think about this question is to consider an alternative scenario in which the Federal Reserve didn’t implement quantitative easing. As James Pethkoukis at the American Enterprise Institute points out, the U.S. economy might now resemble the current situation in most European Union economies, where a triple-dip recession looms in some countries. Even if the situation was slightly less grave, it would still in no way resemble the steady if slow U.S. economic growth over the past several years.
Pethokoukis says that there’s another scenario in which the Federal Reserve could have implemented policy that more directly increased the earnings of a broad swath of the population. He mentions a “helicopter drop” of money, where the Fed prints money to fund checks sent directly to American households from the U.S. Treasury. He says such a move might have decreased inequality relative to the chosen QE path, but would it have arrested the increase in income and wealth inequality? Given that the rise in economic inequality has been going for decades and continued over several periods of recessions and expansions, it seems unlikely.
Jared Bernstein argues that a central bank can reduce inequality, but only after a prolonged and consistent campaign to promote full employment. The effects of monetary policy on inequality need to be considered over a period longer than just one recession or expansion. The Federal Reserve is assigned a mandate by Congress to promote maximum employment in its policy setting. Perhaps the central bank should consider its commitment to that goal given unacceptably high unemployment today. For the Federal Reserve to reduce inequality, it’ll take a change in mindset.
Noted for Your Lunchtime Procrastination for October 24, 2014
Must- and Shall-Reads:
- The bottom 90 percent are poorer today than they were in 1987 – The Washington Post
- Will the big banks ever clean up their act?
- Calling the consolidation efficiency bluff
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Copyright and Creativity: Evidence from Italian Operas: “This paper exploits variation in the adoption of copyright laws within Italy – as a result of Napoleon’s military campaign – to examine the effects of copyrights on creativity. To measure variation in the quantity and quality of creative output, we have collected detailed data on 2,598 operas that premiered across eight states within Italy between 1770 and 1900. These data indicate that the adoption of copyrights led to a significant increase in the number of new operas premiered per state and year. Moreover, we find that the number of high-quality operas also increased – measured both by their contemporary popularity and by the longevity of operas. By comparison, evidence for a significant effect of copyright extensions is substantially more limited. Data on composers’ places of birth indicate that the adoption of copyrights triggered a shift in patterns of composers’ migration, and helped attract a large number of new composers to states that offered copyrights…”
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Low Down Payments Are Coming Back: “On Monday, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt announced that mortgage-finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would start backing loans with down payments as low as 3%. And on Tuesday, three federal agencies approved a loosened set of mortgage-lending rules, removing a requirement for a 20% down payment for a class of high-quality loan known as a ‘qualified residential mortgage’…. In addition, veterans can apply for 100% financing on loans insured by the Veterans Administration, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture has several loan programs…. Borrowers with low down payments do default in higher numbers than similar borrowers with higher down payments, said Mark Zandi…. However, Mr. Zandi still believes that low-down-payment lending can be done in a responsible way, by making sure borrowers have solid credit, have low ratios of debt compared with their income and are taking on standard loans…”
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<China’s Slowdown Is Secular, Not Cyclical: Is China bouncing back from a weak patch of growth, or is it headed for a prolonged slowdown lasting many years?… Both are probably true. Cyclical fluctuations are occurring around a clearly slowing long-term trend…. Until 2011, mainstream economic forecasters… believed that the trend growth rate in China would remain in the 9-10 per cent region for as far ahead as the eye could see. Now almost no one thinks that…. The Conference Board forecast this week that trend growth after 2020 would be only 4 per cent a year…”
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Jeff Weintraub: China’s Man in Hong Kong Explains the Problem with Democracy–It’s a Threat to Capitalism: “The argument that democracy is dangerous because it means mob rule by the ignorant unwashed masses–or rule by unscrupulous and even tyrannical demagogues who can manipulate those masses–is a very old one…. [The] more specific version… that political democracy… threatens the basic requirements of a capitalist market economy, was made quite often throughout the 19th and into the early 20th century…. For better or worse, history seems to have demonstrated that such claims about the fundamental incompatibility… were exaggerated…. [The] inherent tensions… [are] a good thing…. Some pro-plutocratic and market-fundamentalist ideologues still share that 19th-century fear of the perils of democracy, and occasionally some billionaire will blurt this out in an unguarded interview. But in most western societies, people who hold these views can’t state them… openly and straightforwardly… [but] euphemistically… with various circumlocutions. In some other parts of the world, however, those anti-democratic arguments can still be made publicly with refreshing honesty.”
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How will the long fall in China’s growth impact risks and opportunities for business?: “Is the China slowdown over? Many analysts think China has had a ‘soft landing’ that will yield about 8 percent annual growth for the next decade. We disagree. Absent reforms that resolve China’s productivity and debt challenges, we expect a ‘soft fall’ to growth of about 4 percent by 2020, including negative growth for certain sectors and regions. While there is tremendous potential for reform, political economy challenges make bold action difficult. Our research provides guidance for companies looking to optimize investment and sustain growth.” -
Chair Yellen Is Right: Income and Wealth Inequality Hurts Economic Mobility | Economic Policy Institute: “Janet Yellen gave a speech this week… no mincing of words as to what has happened: ‘It is no secret that the past few decades of widening inequality can be summed up as significant income and wealth gains for those at the very top and stagnant living standards for the majority. I think it is appropriate to ask whether this trend is compatible with values rooted in our nation’s history, among them the high value Americans have traditionally placed on equality of opportunity.’ I appreciate both the straightforward description of the rise of both income and wealth inequality, and the explicit connection between these growing inequalities and the threat this poses to future generations’ upward mobility and opportunity…. Conservatives seem to only be concerned with facilitating opportunity or social mobility, and consider income inequality itself not a worthy focus…. Various reporters have noted the Obama administration backing away from making ’income inequality’ a key issue and shifting to a focus on opportunity or mobility. Is this tenable, deciding to focus on the upward mobility of today’s poor children without any focus on the incomes and wealth of their parents and the circumstances of their lives—where they live, in what housing, with what safety, and so on?”
Should Be Aware of:
- The Intelligent Life of the City Raccoon
- How to become an equity fund manager
- NOAA Climate: ENSO Blog
- Ebola Vaccine, Ready for Test, Sat on the Shelf
- “Here’s corporations’ basic message to women: Just ‘lean in.’ And if leaning in leaves no time for marriage or kids, here’s a free freezer for your eggs…”
- Journalists need a point of view if they want to stay relevant
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The ECB as lender of last resort?: “As part of the move to a banking union, the largest banks in the Eurozone will soon be supervised by the ECB. This column argues that supervision and the lender of last resort function should be seen as a joint product. After the introduction of the euro, the national central banks continued to act as lenders of last resort because bank supervision remained at the national level. Now that supervision is moving to the ECB, so should the lender of last resort function for the larger, cross-border, banks.”
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On David Brooks on Edmund Burke: “Burke is… often held up as the source of conservatism, [but] I get the feeling he’s not often read… quotations inevitably have a whiff of cliché about them—little platoons and so on—emitting that stale blast of familiarity you sense when you listen to someone go on about a text he may or may not have read during one week in college…”
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Helicopter Money: “The original Friedman thought experiment involved the central bank distributing money by helicopter… by the central bank printing money, rather than the government issuing debt…. Helicopter money is… QE coupled with a tax cut. Another way of thinking about it: instead of using money to buy assets (QE alone), the central bank gives it away to people…. It could be that advocates of helicopter money really want higher inflation targets, but do not want to be explicit about this, just as they may not want to call helicopter money a fiscal stimulus. The problem with this is that central bankers do understand the macroeconomics…. As Willem Buiter says, ‘there always exists a combined monetary and fiscal policy action that boosts private demand’.”
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Plutocrats Against Democracy: “The very success of the conservative agenda only intensifies this fear. Many on the right–and I’m not just talking about people listening to Rush Limbaugh; I’m talking about members of the political elite–live, at least part of the time, in an alternative universe in which America has spent the past few decades marching rapidly down the road to serfdom. Never mind the new Gilded Age that tax cuts and financial deregulation have created; they’re reading books with titles like [Nick Eberstadt’s] A Nation of Takers: America’s Entitlement Epidemic, asserting that the big problem we have is runaway redistribution. This is a fantasy…. If you worry that low-income voters will run wild, that they’ll greedily grab everything and tax job creators into oblivion, history says that you’re wrong. All advanced nations have had substantial welfare states since the 1940s–welfare states that, inevitably, have stronger support among their poorer citizens. But you don’t, in fact, see countries descending into tax-and-spend death spirals–and no, that’s not what ails Europe…. The obvious answer is Mr. Leung’s: Don’t let the bottom half, or maybe even the bottom 90 percent, vote. And now you understand why there’s so much furor on the right over the alleged but actually almost nonexistent problem of voter fraud, and so much support for voter ID laws that make it hard for the poor and even the working class to cast ballots. American politicians don’t dare say outright that only the wealthy should have political rights–at least not yet. But if you follow the currents of thought now prevalent on the political right to their logical conclusion, that’s where you end up. The truth is that a lot of what’s going on in American politics is, at root, a fight between democracy and plutocracy. And it’s by no means clear which side will win.”
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The real villain of the Clinton impeachment: “The Republicans who set up a crooked Republican lawman to go after Clinton. Ken Starr crooked? A Freedom of Information Act search reveals that, yes, during the probe into Clinton’s relationship with an intern, he used agents who bullied and ‘mistreated’ the key witness, Monica Lewinsky, threatening her and her family if she didn’t provide them with grounds to remove the Democratic president. ‘The report also lays out the encounter in detail, suggesting that it quickly spun out of control as a shocked and hysterical Lewinsky asked to consult a lawyer or a parent–even as prosecutors grew increasingly determined to persuade her to agree on the spot to cooperate against the president…’ Keep this in mind: the actions taken were the result of Republican demands. The actions were political and illegal. The report on the matter was kept under wraps for years and only now has emerged as a result of a FOIA demand…”
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Interactive map: World population by latitude and longitude: “André Christoffer Andersen created this nifty interactive map that estimates world population at any coordinate. Andersen was inspired by Bill Rankin’s data visualizations. According this this map, the most populous coordinate is in the Punjab region. Some of the data seems shifted a bit, so the spike for Mexico City is a little too far east, but it’s a cool proof of concept!”
Lunchtime Must-Read: Larry MIshel: Income and Wealth Inequality Hurts Economic Mobility
…no mincing of words as to what has happened: ‘It is no secret that the past few decades of widening inequality can be summed up as significant income and wealth gains for those at the very top and stagnant living standards for the majority. I think it is appropriate to ask whether this trend is compatible with values rooted in our nation’s history, among them the high value Americans have traditionally placed on equality of opportunity.’ I appreciate both the straightforward description of the rise of both income and wealth inequality, and the explicit connection between these growing inequalities and the threat this poses to future generations’ upward mobility and opportunity…. Conservatives seem to only be concerned with facilitating opportunity or social mobility, and consider income inequality itself not a worthy focus…. Various reporters have noted the Obama administration backing away from making ’income inequality’ a key issue and shifting to a focus on opportunity or mobility. Is this tenable, deciding to focus on the upward mobility of today’s poor children without any focus on the incomes and wealth of their parents and the circumstances of their lives—where they live, in what housing, with what safety, and so on?
Morning Must-Read: Michela Giorcelli and Petra Moser: Copyright and Creativity: Evidence from Italian Operas
…as a result of Napoleon’s military campaign – to examine the effects of copyrights on creativity. To measure variation in the quantity and quality of creative output, we have collected detailed data on 2,598 operas that premiered across eight states within Italy between 1770 and 1900. These data indicate that the adoption of copyrights led to a significant increase in the number of new operas premiered per state and year. Moreover, we find that the number of high-quality operas also increased – measured both by their contemporary popularity and by the longevity of operas. By comparison, evidence for a significant effect of copyright extensions is substantially more limited. Data on composers’ places of birth indicate that the adoption of copyrights triggered a shift in patterns of composers’ migration, and helped attract a large number of new composers to states that offered copyrights…
Morning Must-Read: Alan Zibel: Low Down Payments Are Coming Back
Lunchtime Must-Read: Gavyn Davies: China’s Slowdown Is Secular, Not Cyclical
…or is it headed for a prolonged slowdown lasting many years?… Both are probably true. Cyclical fluctuations are occurring around a clearly slowing long-term trend…. Until 2011, mainstream economic forecasters… believed that the trend growth rate in China would remain in the 9-10 per cent region for as far ahead as the eye could see. Now almost no one thinks that…. The Conference Board forecast this week that trend growth after 2020 would be only 4 per cent a year…
Understanding economic inequality and growth at the middle of the income ladder
Recent shifts in our economy hit middle class families in ways that may directly affect both current and future productivity. Families in the middle of the income spectrum experienced very little income growth over the past several decades despite working more and often irregular hours. Between 1979 and 2007, the incomes of these families grew by just under 40 percent (after adjusting for inflation), but over that same time period their hours of work also increased.
Compared to 1979, middle class married couples in 2007 put in an average of 11 extra hours of work per week.Much of this added employment is due to the increased employment rates of women and mothers. Most dramatic is the increase in the share of mothers who work full-time, full-year (at least 50 weeks per year and at least 35 hours a week), which rose from 27.3 percent of mothers in 1979 to 46 percent of mothers in 2007 before declining somewhat to 44.1 percent, in the wake of the 2007-2009 recession.

The dramatic increase in women’s working hours certainly boosted household earnings. Middle class households would have substantially lower earnings today if women’s employment patterns had remained unchanged. And U.S. gross domestic product—the largest measure of economic growth—would have been roughly 11 percent lower in 2012 if women had not increased their working hours as they did. In today’s dollars, this translates to over $1.7 trillion less in output—roughly equivalent to total U.S. spending on Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid combined in 2012.
But as more women enter the workforce and most men continue to work outside the home, parents are increasingly strapped for time. Given the importance of early childhood for a child and our nation’s future human capital, understanding how trends in our economy affect the next generation of workers is key to future economic growth. Economists have spilled a great deal of ink seeking to understand female employment patterns and what greater maternal employment means for families and, particularly, children’s wellbeing and development. Over the past decades, economists have begun focusing on how a child’s experiences between birth and starting kindergarten affect their future employment and earnings.
The three essays in this section of our conference report—by Stanford University sociologist Sean Reardon, Stanford’s Clayman Institute sociologist Marianne Cooper, and the Vice President and Director of the Children & Families Program at Next Generation, Ann O’Leary—explore how middle-income families are trying to balance work/life while providing their kids with the best opportunities available and how government policy can help create institutions that allow all workers to both contribute in the workplace and at home. —Heather Boushey is executive director and chief economist of the Washington Center for Equitable Growth
Income inequality affects our children’s educational Opportunities
by Sean F. Reardon
One of the clearest manifestations of growing economic inequality in our nation today is the widening educational achievement gap between the children of the wealthiest and the children of everyone else. At first glance, this sounds like an obvious outcome. After all, wealthier families are able to afford expensive private schools, or homes in wealthy public school districts with more educational resources.
But a closer look at this education achievement gap over the past 50 years or so shows that the gap only began to widen in the 1970s, right about the time that wealth and income inequality in our nation also began to grow. The past 30 years have seen a sustained rise in inequality in wages, incomes, and wealth, leading to more and more income and wealth accruing to those at the top of the economic ladder, pulling the rich further away from those on the other rungs.
At the same time, the growing educational gap became ever more apparent. In the 1980s, the gap between the reading and math skills of the wealthiest 10 percent of kids and poorest 10 percent was about 90 points on an 800-point SAT-type scale. Three decades later, the gap has grown to 125 points. This widening gap is largely due to differences in how well prepared children are for school before they enter kindergarten or even pre-kindergarten. In this era of economic inequality, wealthier parents have far more resources, both in terms of time and money, to better prepare their children to succeed in school and later in life.
This widening educational achievement gap may threaten our future economic growth. With only a select few individuals receiving the best education and enrichment, we are not effectively developing the economic potential of our future workforce. To grow our economy we must provide educational and enrichment opportunities for children across the income spectrum, rather than only a select few at the top.
Wealth and income largely define the educational gap today, more so than race and ethnicity. In the 1950s and 1960s, the opposite was true. Back then, racial discrimination in all aspects of life led to deep racial inequality. Economic inequality, in contrast, was lower than at any time in U.S. history, according to extensive research done by economists Thomas Piketty at the Paris School of Economics and Emmanuel Saez at the University of California-Berkeley. But anti-discrimination and civil rights legislation and school desegregation led to improved economic, social, and educational conditions for African Americans and other minorities beginning in the late 1960s. As a result, the gap today between white and black children is about 70 points on an 800- point SAT-type scale, 40 percent smaller than it was in the 1970s, and about half the size of the gap between rich and poor children, but still unacceptable.
The growth of the socioeconomic achievement gap appears to be largely because more affluent parents are increasingly investing more time and money in their kids’ educational enrichment—and at earlier periods in their children’s lives—than hard-pressed low-income and middle class families. Indeed, surveys show that the amount of time and money parents invest in their children has grown sharply over the past four decades among both affluent and non-affluent parents. But the increase in these investments has been two to three times greater among high-income families. Economists Richard Murnane of Harvard University and Greg Duncan at the University of California-Irvine find that between 1972 and 2006 the amount high-income families spent on their children’s enrichment activities grew by 150 percent, while the amount spent by low-income families grew by 57 percent. In part, parents are spending more on their kids because they understand that educational success is increasingly important in today’s uncertain economic times, a point that sociologist Marianne Cooper at the Clayman Institute makes in her recent book “Cut Adrift.” But low- and middle-income families can’t match the resources—both the money and flexible time—of the rich.
As a result, rich and poor children score very differently on school readiness tests before they enter kindergarten. Once they are in school, however, the gap grows very little—by less than 10 percent between kindergarten and high school. Thus, it appears that the academic gap is widening because rich students are increasingly entering kindergarten much better prepared to succeed in school than low- and middle-class students. To be sure, there are important differences in the quality of schools serving low- and high-income students, but these differences do not appear to be as salient as the differences in children’s experiences prior to kindergarten.
The socioeconomic education gap is likely to affect us for decades to come. Think of it as a leading indicator of disparities in civic engagement, college enrollment, and adult success. Indeed, family income and wealth have become increasingly correlated with a variety of positive adolescent activities, such as sports participation, school leadership, extracurricular activities, and volunteer work, according to research conducted by Harvard University political scientist Robert D. Putnam and his colleagues.
Not only are the children of the rich doing better in elementary and high school than the children of the poor, they also are cornering the market on the seats in the best colleges. In a study that I conducted with several of my graduate students, we found that 15 percent of high-income students from the 2004 graduating class of high school enrolled in a highly selective college or university compared to only 5 percent of middle-income graduates and 2 percent of low-income graduates. Because these colleges provide educational opportunities and access to social networks that often lead to high-paying jobs, children from low-income families risk are being locked out of the upper end of the economic spectrum. For low-income children, the American Dream is further out of reach.
This is bad news for our future economy and society because we need well-educated workers in order to sustainably boost economic productivity and grow the economy. So how can we prepare every child, not just those most affluent ones, to be productive members of society? First of all, we must acknowledge that educational problems cannot be resolved by school alone. The achievement gap begins at an early age. To close it, we must invest in children’s early childhood educational opportunities. This means investing not only in preschool but also in parents. Specifically, we need to:
- Invest in high-quality early childhood education programs (pre-schools, day care) and make them affordable for all families.
- Invest in programs that help parents become their children’s first and best teacher.
- Provide policy solutions to help all parents have the time to be teachers through paid leave, paid sick days, workplace flexibility, and income support programs that ensure that families can focus on their children even in hard economic times.
In short, we can narrow the socioeconomic education gap through public policies that help parents of all incomes provide enriching educational opportunities for their children in the way that only affluent parents can do today. —Sean F. Reardon is a sociologist at Stanford University
One nation under worry
by Marianne Cooper
As study after study shows, the rich are doing better than the rest of us. But surprisingly, they don’t always presume that their wealth will protect them or guarantee their children’s futures. In talking with families across the class spectrum about how they coping in an uncertain age for my new book, “Cut Adrift: Families in Insecure Times,” I learned that even the affluent families don’t think they have enough and strive to attain more. In contrast, the working- and middle-class families I spoke with realize they can’t do much to improve their situations so they lower their expectations and try to get by on less.
This is the new face of economic inequality in the United States today. Most everyone is dealing with economic insecurity, yet the ways in which families on different rungs of the income ladder are doing so may be fueling greater economic inequality.
Take Paul Mah, a technology executive with assets of more than $1 million. “We are probably in the top 1 percent of all American households,” says Mah, “so I can’t complain, but I still don’t feel rich.” Only accumulating millions more, he says, would enable him to stop feeling anxious about his financial future and the prospects of his children.
In contrast, Laura Delgado, a struggling single mother of three who works as a cashier, has zero savings, but in many ways is less concerned. “Having nothing isn’t always a bad thing,” she says, noting that things could always be worse. To cope with her financial trouble, Delgado scales back her definition of security to just the basics (food, shelter, clothing) and filters out bad news by always trying to look on the bright side of things. Her approach enables her to control the anxiety she feels about her difficult economic situation.
These are just two of the emotional stories behind the statistics documenting that we live in precarious times. As Americans scramble to hold on to jobs, deal with pay cuts, afford rising college tuition, fund retirements, manage debt, weather the costs of medical emergencies, and give their children an edge in an increasingly competitive world, there are deep psychological reverberations—for us all.
Of course these reverberations look and feel differently for different groups of Americans. As economic insecurity grows—a reflection of the many changes and challenges in our economy today—so too has the divide in our country between the haves and the have-nots. This means families face different obstacles and can overcome them, or not, depending on the resources at their disposal.
Like Laura Delgado, many middle- and working-class families I talked with are so beaten down that they are letting go of their dreams for a better life. Instead, they try to make the insecurity they face more tolerable. When Laura must choose whether to pay the power bill or put food on the table for example, she makes light of the lack of heat in her home by telling her kids it’s just “camping.”
Affluent families respond differently. Rather than trying to adjust to greater insecurity, they seek to protect their families by continuing to climb the wealth-and-income ladder. Security for some of the wealthiest families I talked with meant accumulating a net worth of more than $10 million. Such eye-popping definitions of security leave many affluent families more worried at times than their less fortunate compatriots further down the ladder.
In our go-it-alone age, we all adopt ways of coping—ways of thinking and feeling—that help us navigate through choppy and dangerous waters. These different approaches to managing insecurity reveal that in hard times the divisions among us are not just economic, they are also emotional.
Emotional disparities like these have real consequences. As the rich push for more and everyone else tries to accommodate to less, we actually make inequality worse. Because we treat economic insecurity as a personal problem rather than a social problem that we can solve collectively, we are unable to muster the will to stop it. —Marianne Cooper a sociologist at The Clayman Institute, Stanford University
Our future depends on early childhood investments
by Ann O’Leary
It is startling to think that even before a child sits down on her first day of kindergarten and reaches for her crayons, we can already reasonably predict what she will earn as an adult. Research shows that early language development, understanding of math concepts, and social emotional stability at age five are the greatest predictors of academic success in school. In fact, skills learned before age five can forecast future adult earnings, educational attainment, and employment.
These findings have real implications for our economy. Human capital—the level of education, skills, and talents of our workforce—is a main driver of economic growth, so in order to ensure we have a healthy workforce and thriving economy in the decades to come, we must begin by developing human capital during early childhood.
Yet rising economic inequality and unstable economic growth define our society today. Children have different enrichment experiences during this critical time period based on where their families sit on the income ladder. About half of children In the United States receive no early childhood education. These different experiences translate into a growing educational achievement gap between poor and rich children.
One study—often referred to as the famous “30 million word gap” study by University of Kansas child psychology professors Betty Hart and Todd R. Risley—finds that children living in poverty hear 30 million fewer words by age four than higher-income children.3 On average, a child from a low-income family knows 500 words by the age of 3, compared with 700 words for a child from a working-class family and 1,100 for a child from a professional family. Research by Stanford University infant psychology professor Anne Fernald and her colleagues found that by even age two, there is a six-month gap in language proficiency between lower-income and higher-income children.
In short, the educational achievement gap between poor and rich children begins well before kindergarten.
How can we better prepare our nation’s youngest generation for success? According to University of Chicago economist James J. Heckman, educational and enrichment investments during early childhood yield the highest return in human capital compared to other investments over time. Why? Because as the brain forms, children learn cognitive skills such as language and early math concepts as well as “soft” skills such as curiosity, self-control, and grit. Both skillsets are critical for later academic and workplace success. By the time a child enters Kindergarten, the gap in school readiness is large and well established, growing by less than 10 percent between Kindergarten and high school.
School readiness is enhanced by what happens in preschool, but the two factors that most explain the achievement gaps are parenting styles and home-learning environments. Yet many parents are unaware of the importance of early brain development and of the tremendous impact they can have in building their young child’s brain and early vocabulary with simple actions such as talking, reading and singing.
Even if parents are aware of the importance of these activities, they may have difficulty carving out time at home with their children as they juggle jobs and their children’s needs. Today, more children than ever are raised in single-parent families or in homes where both parents work. Parents today are constantly balancing work and family care often without access to family-friendly workplace policies to balance the two.
To be sure, if parents are unable to provide enriching home experiences then children can gain valuable developmental and learning support in quality child care and preschool settings. Yet many simply cannot afford childcare. In 2011, the average cost for a 4-year-old in professional childcare ranged from about $4,000 to $15,000 a year. Such costs put a major strain on family budgets, especially for low-income families, which spent nearly a third of their income on childcare (30 percent) in 2011, compared to middle- and higher-income families, which spent less than one-tenth (8 percent) of their income.
What’s more, low-income families who do strain to pay for child care often find that the care they can afford is, at best, a safe place for their child to stay while they are at work rather than an enriching environment for their young child to learn critical skills. Sadly, these families often discover that the affordable childcare provider offers poor or mediocre support to help their child in the critical stages of early childhood development.
In order to have a productive workforce and thriving economy tomorrow, we need to invest in our children today. There are viable policy solutions that could expand early childhood education and enrichment opportunities to all, rather than a select few at the top. First, voluntary home visits by child development professionals could increase awareness among working-class parents of how they can foster their children’s development at home, such as talking, reading, and singing to their children before bedtime.
Second, it is important to expand access to high-quality, affordable early childhood education. These programs better prepare children for school, putting children more than a year ahead in mathematics and other subjects. Low-income families would greatly benefit from expanded access to quality childcare, Early Head Start, and high-quality preschool programs.
Lastly, parents can only be better first teachers of their children if they have the time to be with their children. Policies such as workplace flexibility, paid family and medical leave, and paid sick days could help all working parents better manage work and family obligations and spend more time with their children. Today, professional workers are the most likely to have access to these policies, often considered additional employee “perks” by employers.
The importance of investing in early childhood matters for our overall economic competitiveness. The United States should be making smart economic investments in early childhood to ensure that all children have an equitable start before their first day of school. For the American Dream to shine well into the 21st century, it is no exaggeration to say that every American, young and old, needs our youngest ones to be the best and the brightest as adults no matter their family background and income level. —Ann O’Leary is vice president and director of the Children and Families Program at NextGeneration
Morning Must-Read: Jeff Weintraub: China’s Man in Hong Kong Explains the Problem with Democracy–It’s a Threat to Capitalism
Jeff Weintraub: China’s Man in Hong Kong Explains the Problem with Democracy–It’s a Threat to Capitalism: “The argument that democracy is dangerous…
…because it means mob rule by the ignorant unwashed masses–or rule by unscrupulous and even tyrannical demagogues who can manipulate those masses–is a very old one…. [The] more specific version… that political democracy… threatens the basic requirements of a capitalist market economy, was made quite often throughout the 19th and into the early 20th century…. For better or worse, history seems to have demonstrated that such claims about the fundamental incompatibility… were exaggerated…. [The] inherent tensions… [are] a good thing…. Some pro-plutocratic and market-fundamentalist ideologues still share that 19th-century fear of the perils of democracy, and occasionally some billionaire will blurt this out in an unguarded interview. But in most western societies, people who hold these views can’t state them… openly and straightforwardly… [but] euphemistically… with various circumlocutions. In some other parts of the world, however, those anti-democratic arguments can still be made publicly with refreshing honesty.