For Thursday: Josh Bivens, Brad DeLong, Jeff Madrick, Ylan Mui: How Mainstream Economic Thinking Imperils America
DRAFT NOTES:
How Mainstream Economic Thinking Imperils America:
Thursday, October 23, 2014
1:00 – 2: 30 p.m. ET
Economic Policy Institute
1333 H St., NW
Suite 300
Washington, DC 20005
http://www.epi.org/event/mainstream-economic-thinking-imperils-america/
- The “Invisible Hand”
- Say’s Law
- Friedman’s Folly: Government’s Limited Social Role
- Low Inflation Is All That Matters
- There Are No Bubbles
- Globalization Is Always Good
- Economics Is a Science
In Madrick’s Introduction and Reading Along:
- Praised in the Introduction:
- John Maynard Keynes
- Dani Rodrik
- Criticized in the Introduction:
- Adam Smith–no comment necessary…
- Olivier Blanchard–the de facto leader of the Sixth International: on the left of the spectrum of policymakers…
- Larry Summers–principal advocate of the Keynesian expansionary-fiscal solution to our troubles…
- Milton Friedman–when he was alive, the most powerful advocate of unlimited quantitative easing…
- Bob Rubin–on his watch big banks were bailed-in during financial crises, not bailed-out…
- Ben Bernanke–most left-wing central banker we had (although I will concede his attachment to 2%/year inflation target, and failure to reach it, are huge minuses)…
- Robert Lucas–underbriefed and destructive…
- Madrick on Christina Romer:
- In a piece she wrote for The New York Times criticizing an increase in the minimum wage, Christina Romer, the former Obama adviser and considered by many to be a political liberal, implicitly made this same oversimplified assumption that workers usually get what they deserve. This is an example of Friedman’s broad influence…
- Romer:
- We have better policies available: expand the EITC is better targeted
- For the long-run, universal kindergarten and pre-K have more bang for the buck
- And these are expansionary fiscal policy–spending money gives a macroeconomic boost as well
- But if the choice is for a higher minimum wage or nothing, I’m for a higher minimum wage…
- Of these 8, somewhere between 5 and 7 are to the left of current North Atlantic policymakers–not excluding Obama
PFoJ vs. JPF, Perhaps?
- A little misplaced ire, I think…
- But I don’t want to go there…
I Want to Go Here: The Problem, as I See It:
- Economics starts from the presumption that market success is the benchmark
- And that market failure is anomalous
- It ought to start from the presumption that market construction is difficult
- It ought to have a grammar of other forms of organization–command, bureaucracy, charity, cooperative, regulated monopoly, yardsticks, etc.–and where they succeed and where they fail
- We have a great deal of economic life where we know the market will not work well, and these sectors will only grow in relative importance
- Pensions
- Health-care finance
- Education
- Infrastructure
- Research and development
- Information goods more generally
- Policy is far to the right–and not to the smart right–of even where the really existing economics profession, at least the “serious” piece of it in an intellectual sense, is
- Why?
- How to fix it–books like Jeff’s, of course, but how else?
- Two tasks: move the “serious” economics profession, and move policymaking to the “serious” economics profesion–both seem of equal importance and difficulty