Archives: Grant

Janus and the Future of Public Sector Worker Power

This project explores the causes and implications of the resilience of public-sector unions after the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in Janus v. AFSCME, which effectively made the entire public sector right-to-work. The research team will field a national survey of 4,000 full-time, nonmanagerial, union-eligible public-sector workers to shed light on two questions: Why didn’t the Supreme Court decision in Janus cause a large decrease in public-sector union membership? And what can spark increased unionization efforts among public-sector workers in the United States? This project is poised to inform what options there may be for boosting union membership in the public sector.

The Physics of Reparations: A Quantum Leap in Equity

This project will explore whether reparations can close and have a lasting impact on the racial wealth gap. The research team will examine how parental income, wealth, and education affect offspring’s wealth as adults. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, they estimate an empirical model of the relationship between parents’ and children’s income, wealth, and education. They will then develop a general equilibrium model with endogenous accumulation of physical and human capital by heterogeneous households. Built into the model is an overlapping generations structure, whereby investments in children depend on parents’ income and wealth, and wealth can be inherited across generations. They will then use the model to examine the effect of different reparations policies and their effects on short- and long-run welfare, income, and human capital by race.

The Child Care Workforce and COVID: Community Capacity and Investments as Buffers to the Pandemic

This project will unpack the association between child care infrastructure, child care employment, and unemployment rates across counties, and examine whether it differs by geography, race, or poverty level. The research team will estimate the racial and ethnic differences in the local availability of child care and then test the relationship between early childhood education and both child care workers’ employment and wages, as well as overall labor force participation. The project will provide a longitudinal national measurement of child care supply at the county level and evaluate whether the stability of publicly funded child care through schooling bolstered local child care employment and earnings.

Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Implications of Wage Rigidity

This project will unpack the effect of inflation on employment and wages during the current inflationary episode in the United States. They plan to establish stylized empirical facts related to heterogeneity in wage rigidity and the labor market effects of inflation. They will use Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics data to study how wage rigidities vary with inflation. The team’s second goal is an extension of an existing theoretical model of the labor market by adding job-to-job mobility, wage renegotiation costs, and multiworker firms to better capture firms’ labor market power.

Does guaranteed income facilitate wealth and credit building among Black households in Georgia?

This project partners with two guaranteed income experiments in Georgia to understand how guaranteed income affects asset development and credit-building. One experiment, in and around Atlanta, enrolled 654 low-income Black women in the summer of 2022. This experiment uses two different models of benefit delivery—equal-sized regular payments versus a one-time lump-sum payment followed by smaller regular payments. There is also a control group formed by those not randomly selected for the program. The other project takes 200 homeless clients from Project Community Connections Inc. and randomly assigns half of them to receive case management and housing assistance, while the other half receives those services plus $400 per month. For both experiments, the research team will link to credit report data and create a control group from the credit data to provide insight on racially patterned economic disparities and potential policy interventions. This paper will bridge guaranteed income—an income-maintenance intervention—with the study of wealth development and access to credit.

The Lifecycle Origins of Income Inequality

This project will challenge an accepted finding in economics on the lifecycle pattern of inequality—namely, that inequality increases with age within a birth cohort. The research team builds on existing research from the Global Repository of Income Dynamics database to develop a model to explain an observation in the data that inequality is generated more from differences in childhood experiences such as parental income or school quality than from labor market experiences.

Missing pieces in the puzzle: Leveraging untapped archival data to connect New Deal housing policies to racial and spatial inequality

This project will digitize previously thought to be destroyed Federal Housing Administration maps created in the 1930s and 1940s that outline redlining in FHA loans. Furthermore, the authors plan to digitize 10,000 Paid Loan Case files, which describe individual FHA loans. They will then look at how the information in these maps helped decide which neighborhoods were redlined and how important race was in those decisions. Lastly, they will look at who received FHA loans and how these loans affected homeownership.

Changing Climate for Union Organizing: Non-Board campaigns 2016-2022

This project will answer how campaigns for unionization run outside of the National Labor Relations Board differ from NLRB campaigns in terms of firm, industry, and bargaining unit characteristics, as well as employer and union tactics. There is existing evidence that NLRB-certified elections are fraught with employer labor law violations and other barriers. Card check campaigns, on the other hand, offer a potentially compelling alternative way of organizing. This study will use an in-depth national survey of lead organizers in private-sector, non-Board organizing campaigns to examine the characteristics and effectiveness of the campaigns. The author will compile a database of non-Board organizing campaigns from 2016–2022 to show the extent of non-Board organizing, whether these campaigns have declined in number and size in accordance with NLRB campaigns, and which unions and industries have the most non-Board organizing activity. The author will then conduct a survey of 500 non-Board campaign organizers on employer and union tactics, unit demographics, and the election and first contract process.

Designing Climate Adaptation Funding Portfolios for Equity and Efficiency

This project seeks to explain how climate adaptation projects mitigate the unequal effects of climate change. They plan to model efficient investment in climate adaptation from a global perspective to inform how the United States should fund global activities to mitigate climate change. They will develop and calibrate a multiregion, multisector spatial equilibrium model that incorporates heterogenous exposure to climate change and adaptive capacity to deal with climate change. They will use the model to explore the equity-efficiency frontier of adaptation funding. Importantly, the model will account for global production networks, which play a key role in the propagation of shocks. They seek to understand how these shocks propagate across countries and affect workers with different characteristics, such as education level or race.