No, the Economy Has Not Reached “Escape Velocity”

It’s starting to look like real GDP in the first quarter of 2014 will–seasonally adjusted–be 2.0%/4 above real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2013. -0.5%-point per year of that will be weather-related, but even without the weather factor the economy looks to be starting the year still growing at or below potential.

No “gap closing”.

No “escape velocity”.

February 6, 2014

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