Must-Read: Chandrasekhar Ramakrishnan: The DeLong-Shiller Redux

Must-Read: Above a Shiller CAPE of 25, we have essentially three observations as to what happens next. Hence “we have little idea what is likely, and past performance is not a reliable guide to future results” is the only sound thing to say. As Jim Powell says: with two data points you have an estimate … Continue reading Must-Read: Chandrasekhar Ramakrishnan: The DeLong-Shiller Redux