Must-Read: Simon Wren-Lewis: Helicopter Money and Fiscal Policy

Must-Read: What I often hear: “Expansionary fiscal policy increases the burden of the national debt. That’s the reason expansionary fiscal policy is too risky. Helicopter money–social credit–is expansionary fiscal policy. But expansionary fiscal policy is too risky. Hence helicopter money is too risky.”

Stupid or evil? Simon Wren-Lewis does some intellectual garbage collection:

Simon Wren-Lewis: Helicopter Money and Fiscal Policy: “John Kay and Joerg Bibow think additional government spending on public investment is a good idea…

…We can have endless debates about whether HM is more monetary or fiscal. While attempts to distinguish… can sometime clarify… ultimately… HM is what it is. Arguments that… use definitions to… conclude that central banks should not do HM because it’s fiscal are equally pointless. Any HM distribution mechanism needs to be set up in agreement with governments, and existing monetary policy has fiscal consequences which governments have no control over…..

At this moment in time… public investment should increase in the US, UK and Eurozone. There is absolutely no reason why that cannot be financed by issuing government debt…. HM does not stop the government doing what it wants with fiscal policy. Monetary policy adapts to whatever fiscal policy plans the government has, and it can do this because it can move faster than governments…. Kay… also suggests that HM is somehow a way of getting politicians to do fiscal stimulus by calling it something else. This seems to ignore why fiscal stimulus ended. In 2010 both Osborne and Merkel argued we had to reduce government borrowing immediately because the markets demanded it. HM… avoids the constraint that Osborne and Merkel said prevented further fiscal stimulus…. Many argue that these concerns about debt are manufactured… deficit deceit. HM, particularly in its democratic form, calls their bluff….

There is a related point in favour of HM that both Kay and Bibow miss. Independent central banks are a means of delegating macroeconomic stabilisation. Yet that delegation is crucially incomplete, because of the lower bound for nominal interest rates. While economists have generally understood that governments can in this situation come to the rescue, politicians either didn’t get the memo, or have proved that they are indeed not to be trusted with the task. HM is a much better instrument than Quantitative Easing, so why deny central banks the instrument they require to do the job they have been asked to do?

May 21, 2016

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